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Football prediction record

Football prediction record: the model called the result (home, draw or away) in 3 257 of 6 229 matches on file (52%), each predicted only from the results before it; 14 of the last 20.

52%right over 6 229 results
14/20right in the last 20
25%of matches end level; the model must call those too
DateMatchPickChanceResultRight?
Sun, 18 OctBournemouth v Sunderland
Premier League
Bournemouth55%2-0Yes
Sun, 18 OctBrighton & Hove Albion v Crystal Palace
Premier League
Brighton & Hove Albion73%5-0Yes
Sun, 18 OctLeeds United v Manchester United
Premier League
Leeds United39%1-1No
Sun, 18 OctNottingham Forest v Arsenal
Premier League
Arsenal56%0-1Yes
Sun, 18 OctCA Osasuna v Real Racing Club de Santander
La Liga
CA Osasuna42%2-0Yes
Sun, 18 OctCelta de Vigo v Deportivo Alavés
La Liga
Celta de Vigo48%2-1Yes
Sun, 18 OctMálaga v Real Sociedad de Fútbol
La Liga
Málaga38%2-5No
Sun, 18 OctReal Madrid v Sevilla
La Liga
Real Madrid75%4-1Yes
Sun, 18 OctUdinese Calcio v Lecce
Serie A
Udinese Calcio59%0-3No
Sun, 18 OctFiorentina v Como 1907
Serie A
Como 190760%1-3Yes
Sun, 18 OctMilan v Atalanta BC
Serie A
Milan49%3-2Yes
Sun, 18 OctJuventus v Lazio
Serie A
Juventus53%0-3No
Sun, 18 OctBayer 04 Leverkusen v Freiburg
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen57%2-1Yes
Sun, 18 OctBorussia Mönchengladbach v 1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim39%1-2Yes
Sun, 18 OctSiwelele v Polokwane City
Betway Premiership
Siwelele43%1-0Yes
Sat, 17 OctEverton v Chelsea
Premier League
Everton46%0-2No
Sat, 17 OctBrentford v Liverpool
Premier League
Brentford44%1-2No
Sat, 17 OctFulham v Hull City
Premier League
Fulham41%1-0Yes
Sat, 17 OctManchester City v Ipswich Town
Premier League
Manchester City88%3-2Yes
Sat, 17 OctNewcastle United v Aston Villa
Premier League
Aston Villa39%0-1Yes
Sat, 17 OctEspanyol de Barcelona v Club Atlético de Madrid
La Liga
Club Atlético de Madrid55%0-1Yes
Sat, 17 OctVillarreal v Elche
La Liga
Villarreal64%0-0No
Sat, 17 OctReal Betis Balompié v Barcelona
La Liga
Barcelona71%2-5Yes
Sat, 17 OctValencia v Athletic Club
La Liga
Valencia41%0-0No
Sat, 17 OctVenezia v Napoli
Serie A
Napoli64%1-0No
Sat, 17 OctBologna 1909 v Internazionale Milano
Serie A
Internazionale Milano66%1-3Yes
Sat, 17 OctAS Roma v Genoa CFC
Serie A
AS Roma80%2-0Yes
Sat, 17 OctUnion Berlin v Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund67%0-0No
Sat, 17 OctHamburger v Stuttgart
Bundesliga
Stuttgart63%1-0No
Sat, 17 OctSchalke 04 v Mainz 05
Bundesliga
Mainz 0549%0-1Yes
Sat, 17 Oct07 Elversberg v Augsburg
Bundesliga
07 Elversberg42%4-3Yes
Sat, 17 OctWerder Bremen v Paderborn 07
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen45%2-2No
Sat, 17 OctBayern München v RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
Bayern München78%6-1Yes
Sat, 17 OctVenda FC v Magesi FC
Motsepe Foundation Championship
Magesi FC46%1-3Yes
Sat, 17 OctUpington City v Orbit College FC
Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City54%2-0Yes
Sat, 17 OctThe Bees v Real Native FC
Motsepe Foundation Championship
Real Native FC46%0-1Yes
Sat, 17 OctPretoria University FC v Hungry Lions FC
Motsepe Foundation Championship
Pretoria University FC42%0-2No
Sat, 17 OctLeicesterford City FC v North West University
Motsepe Foundation Championship
Leicesterford City FC46%0-1No
Sat, 17 OctSekhukhune United v Marumo Gallants
Betway Premiership
Sekhukhune United61%2-1Yes
Sat, 17 OctChippa United v Kruger United
Betway Premiership
Chippa United50%0-1No

Walk-forward means each past match was predicted using only the results dated before it, so the figure is what a reader would have seen at the time, not a fit to the answers. A side needs five results on file before the model calls its matches. Calling three outcomes is harder than two: a coin has 33% here, not 50%.

Winners know when to stop. 18+. Gambling can be addictive. National Responsible Gambling Programme 0800 006 008 (free, 24 hours). Only bet with bookmakers licensed in South Africa. Predictions here are a model's output from past results; they can be wrong and are not advice.